Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.005350 0.005914 0.006496 0.007144 0.007841 0.008568 0.009384
2025-02-16 0.004492 0.005323 0.006230 0.007287 0.008482 0.009785 0.011310
2025-02-23 0.003871 0.004831 0.005918 0.007232 0.008768 0.010496 0.012576
2025-03-02 0.003445 0.004492 0.005718 0.007244 0.009076 0.011189 0.013791
2025-03-09 0.003225 0.004366 0.005738 0.007489 0.009638 0.012165 0.015337
2025-03-16 0.002967 0.004163 0.005640 0.007566 0.009980 0.012872 0.016561
2025-03-23 0.002773 0.004020 0.005596 0.007696 0.010376 0.013639 0.017862
2025-03-30 0.002608 0.003899 0.005568 0.007833 0.010773 0.014406 0.019169
2025-04-06 0.002354 0.003639 0.005339 0.007693 0.010803 0.014704 0.019888
2025-04-13 0.002183 0.003479 0.005230 0.007699 0.011012 0.015223 0.020887
2025-04-20 0.001982 0.003261 0.005027 0.007565 0.011027 0.015486 0.021554
2025-04-27 0.001830 0.003101 0.004896 0.007518 0.011147 0.015880 0.022392
2025-05-04 0.001684 0.002947 0.004768 0.007479 0.011287 0.016318 0.023315
2025-05-11 0.001603 0.002886 0.004773 0.007625 0.011686 0.017108 0.024722
2025-05-18 0.001474 0.002740 0.004643 0.007569 0.011796 0.017509 0.025614
2025-05-25 0.001375 0.002633 0.004563 0.007581 0.011998 0.018033 0.026674
2025-06-01 0.001344 0.002635 0.004648 0.007834 0.012548 0.019041 0.028406
2025-06-08 0.001273 0.002566 0.004619 0.007914 0.012846 0.019705 0.029676
2025-06-15 0.001221 0.002524 0.004627 0.008049 0.013225 0.020485 0.031115
2025-06-22 0.001173 0.002486 0.004641 0.008191 0.013615 0.021286 0.032594
2025-06-29 0.001070 0.002343 0.004475 0.008046 0.013573 0.021470 0.033212
2025-07-06 0.001005 0.002262 0.004408 0.008052 0.013754 0.021973 0.034282
2025-07-13 0.000918 0.002135 0.004256 0.007914 0.013710 0.022148 0.034887